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UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 16 Dec 2023, 00:00 · completed

Casey O'Neill vs Ariane da Silva

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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women's fly weight
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9 UFC bouts · last fought 19 Sept 2026

Casey O'Neill

“King”
UFC rec7-2-0
Elo1658
Strike acc52%
Strike def58%
TD defence70%
KO · SUB3 · 2
Age26
Reach175 cm
Orthodox
Last 5LossLossWinWinWin
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women's fly weight
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14 UFC bouts · last fought 7 Jun 2025

Ariane da Silva

“Queen of Violence”
UFC rec6-8-0
Elo1490
Strike acc41%
Strike def51%
TD defence68%
KO · SUB0 · 2
Age29
Reach170 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinWinLossLossLoss

Head to head

7-2-0
UFC record (2013 on)
6-8-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
3
Wins by KO/TKO
0
2
Wins by submission
2
1658
Elo rating
1490
52%
Striking accuracy
41%
58%
Striking defence
51%
7.60
Landed per min
4.05
5.36
Absorbed per min
4.40
70%
Takedown defence
68%
1.35
Takedowns per 15
0.47
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
26
Age
29
175 cm
Reach
170 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.