Skip to content

UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 7 Mar 2026, 00:00 · completed

Rafael Tobias vs Diyar Nurgozhay

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

red corner
light heavy weight
Illustrated avatar
2 UFC bouts · last fought 15 Aug 2026Limited history

Rafael Tobias

“Bipolar”
UFC rec0-2-0
Elo1379
Strike acc33%
Strike def37%
TD defence100%
KO · SUB0 · 0
Age22
Reach188 cm
Orthodox
Last 2LossLoss
blue corner
light heavy weight
Illustrated avatar
4 UFC bouts · last fought 8 Aug 2026

Diyar Nurgozhay

UFC rec2-2-0
Elo1485
Strike acc63%
Strike def57%
TD defence70%
KO · SUB1 · 0
Age28
Reach188 cm
Southpaw
Last 4LossLossWinWin

Head to head

0-2-0
UFC record (2013 on)
2-2-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
0
Wins by KO/TKO
1
0
Wins by submission
0
1379
Elo rating
1485
33%
Striking accuracy
63%
37%
Striking defence
57%
1.99
Landed per min
5.68
6.23
Absorbed per min
2.84
100%
Takedown defence
70%
1.72
Takedowns per 15
1.54
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
22
Age
28
188 cm
Reach
188 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example). Limited history on at least one fighter.

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.