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UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 18 Mar 2023, 00:00 · completed

Muhammad Mokaev vs Jafel Filho

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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7 UFC bouts · last fought 27 Jul 2024

Muhammad Mokaev

“The Punisher”
UFC rec7-0-0
Elo1740
Strike acc45%
Strike def57%
TD defence25%
KO · SUB0 · 4
Age22
Reach178 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinWinWinWinWin
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fly weight
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6 UFC bouts · last fought 25 Apr 2026

Jafel Filho

“Pastor”
UFC rec3-3-0
Elo1503
Strike acc40%
Strike def52%
TD defence47%
KO · SUB0 · 3
Age29
Reach173 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinWinLossWinLoss

Head to head

7-0-0
UFC record (2013 on)
3-3-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
0
Wins by KO/TKO
0
4
Wins by submission
3
1740
Elo rating
1503
45%
Striking accuracy
40%
57%
Striking defence
52%
1.61
Landed per min
1.63
1.35
Absorbed per min
1.52
25%
Takedown defence
47%
5.29
Takedowns per 15
2.36
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
22
Age
29
178 cm
Reach
173 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.